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Planning Approval Rates by Ward in Caerphilly

Planning outcomes in Caerphilly are highly localised. The gap between the most and least permissive wards is 47.4% — that's not noise, it's a fundamentally different planning environment depending on where you live.

1,944 real decisions·39 wards·Updated March 2026
100.0%
Highest: Cefn Fforest
52.6%
Lowest: New Tredegar
47.4%
Gap
39
Wards
83.2% approved overall. But 326 applications refused since 2020. Where you live in Caerphilly shifts your odds by up to 47.4%. The council average doesn't tell you which side of that gap you're on.

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All 39 wards ranked

#WardDecisionsApprovedRefusedRate
1Cefn Fforest14140
100.0%
2Twyn Carno24231
95.8%
3Crosskeys20191
95.0%
4Bedwas, Trethomas & Machen83776
92.8%
5St James44404
90.9%
6Hengoed42384
90.5%
7Cefn Fforest And Pengam19172
89.5%
8Aberbargoed16142
87.5%
9Pengam32284
87.5%
10Ynysddu52457
86.5%
11Pontllanfraith1109515
86.4%
12Ystrad Mynach736310
86.3%
13Crumlin867412
86.0%
14Morgan Jones1028715
85.3%
15Machen And Rudry34295
85.3%
16Maesycwmmer40346
85.0%
17Aber Valley33285
84.8%
18Abercarn645410
84.4%
19St Martins15613125
84.0%
20Newbridge776413
83.1%
21Blackwood1008317
83.0%
22Nelson816714
82.7%
23Van1192
81.8%
24Penyrheol1189622
81.4%
25Darran Valley16133
81.2%
26Moriah And Pontlottyn1082
80.0%
27Llanbradach45369
80.0%
28St Cattwg695514
79.7%
29Bedwas And Trethomas37298
78.4%
30Penmaen816318
77.8%
31Bargoed27216
77.8%
32Risca East31247
77.4%
33Risca West574413
77.2%
34Aberbargoed And Bargoed36279
75.0%
35Moriah24186
75.0%
36Pontlottyn1183
72.7%
37Argoed382513
65.8%
38Gilfach1174
63.6%
39New Tredegar19109
52.6%
See how this applies to your postcode →

These are council averages. Your property is specific.

An extension might sail through in Cefn Fforest but face serious resistance in New Tredegar.
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What the data tells us

1
A 47.4% gap separates the best and worst wards. Cefn Fforest approves 100.0% of applications while New Tredegar approves just 52.6%. That's a fundamentally different planning environment.
2
High volume doesn't mean high approval. Some of the busiest wards aren't the most permissive. The number of applications a ward processes tells you nothing about how likely yours is to succeed.
3
Ward averages are a starting point, not a guarantee. Your specific outcome depends on your property, your neighbours, your proposal type and the comparable decisions near your address.

Before you spend £5,000+ on architects and drawings

326 planning applications in Caerphilly have been refused since 2020. Many of those homeowners had already paid for drawings and application fees. A £79 report shows you what gets approved — and what gets refused — near your property.

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More Caerphilly planning data

Nearby councils ward breakdowns

Methodology: Covers 1,944 planning decisions in Caerphilly, January 2020 to present. Approval rate = approved / (approved + refused). Pending, withdrawn and invalid excluded. Ward boundaries reflect current electoral divisions. Data from Caerphilly Council's public planning portal. Full methodology →
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