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Planning Approval Rates by Ward in Caerphilly

Planning outcomes in Caerphilly are highly localised. The gap between the most and least permissive wards is 36.6% — that's not noise, it's a fundamentally different planning environment depending on where you live.

3,768 real decisions·39 wards·Updated September 2026
100.0%
Highest: Cefn Fforest
63.4%
Lowest: Gilfach
36.6%
Gap
39
Wards
76.5% approved overall. But 884 applications refused since 2020. Where you live in Caerphilly shifts your odds by up to 36.6%. The council average doesn't tell you which side of that gap you're on.

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All 39 wards ranked

#WardDecisionsApprovedRefusedRate
1Cefn Fforest18180
100.0%
2Morgan Jones26622838
85.7%
3Twyn Carno1028715
85.3%
4Bedwas, Trethomas & Machen14312122
84.6%
5Ystrad Mynach17014327
84.1%
6Aberbargoed25214
84.0%
7Pontllanfraith23919841
82.8%
8Blackwood25921247
81.9%
9Nelson19816236
81.8%
10Crumlin20316637
81.8%
11Maesycwmmer927517
81.5%
12Van27225
81.5%
13Cefn Fforest And Pengam907317
81.1%
14St James1068620
81.1%
15Aberbargoed And Bargoed14411628
80.6%
16Pengam514110
80.4%
17Machen And Rudry12510025
80.0%
18St Martins37830276
79.9%
19Newbridge19115041
78.5%
20Penmaen18814741
78.2%
21Pontlottyn18144
77.8%
22Bargoed40319
77.5%
23Penyrheol29022169
76.2%
24Moriah And Pontlottyn423210
76.2%
25Aber Valley1058025
76.2%
26Bedwas And Trethomas14210834
76.1%
27Crosskeys836320
75.9%
28Risca West17012842
75.3%
29St Cattwg18914049
74.1%
30Abercarn17312746
73.4%
31Hengoed1037528
72.8%
32Llanbradach1138033
70.8%
33Ynysddu1389741
70.3%
34Moriah402812
70.0%
35New Tredegar624220
67.7%
36Risca East825527
67.1%
37Darran Valley503317
66.0%
38Argoed1157441
64.3%
39Gilfach412615
63.4%
See how this applies to your postcode →

These are council averages. Your property is specific.

An extension might sail through in Cefn Fforest but face serious resistance in Gilfach.
Check your postcode to see what actually happens near your address.

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What the data tells us

1
A 36.6% gap separates the best and worst wards. Cefn Fforest approves 100.0% of applications while Gilfach approves just 63.4%. That's a fundamentally different planning environment.
2
High volume doesn't mean high approval. Some of the busiest wards aren't the most permissive. The number of applications a ward processes tells you nothing about how likely yours is to succeed.
3
Ward averages are a starting point, not a guarantee. Your specific outcome depends on your property, your neighbours, your proposal type and the comparable decisions near your address.

Before you spend £5,000+ on architects and drawings

884 planning applications in Caerphilly have been refused since 2020. Many of those homeowners had already paid for drawings and application fees. A free, property-specific report shows you what gets approved — and what gets refused — near your property.

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More Caerphilly planning data

Nearby councils ward breakdowns

Methodology: Covers 3,768 planning decisions in Caerphilly, January 2020 to September 2026. Approval rate = approved / (approved + refused). Pending, withdrawn and invalid excluded. Ward boundaries reflect current electoral divisions. Data from Caerphilly Council's public planning portal. Full methodology →
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