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Planning Approval Rates by Ward in Caerphilly

Planning outcomes in Caerphilly are highly localised. The gap between the most and least permissive wards is 36.6% — that's not noise, it's a fundamentally different planning environment depending on where you live.

3,768 real decisions·39 wards·Updated September 2026
100.0%
Highest: Cefn Fforest
63.4%
Lowest: Gilfach
36.6%
Gap
39
Wards
76.5% approved overall. But 884 applications refused since 2020. Where you live in Caerphilly shifts your odds by up to 36.6%. The council average doesn't tell you which side of that gap you're on.

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All 39 wards ranked

#WardDecisionsApprovedRefusedRate
1Cefn Fforest18180
100.0%
2Morgan Jones26823038
85.8%
3Twyn Carno1028715
85.3%
4Bedwas, Trethomas & Machen14312122
84.6%
5Ystrad Mynach17014327
84.1%
6Aberbargoed25214
84.0%
7Pontllanfraith24220042
82.6%
8Blackwood25921247
81.9%
9Nelson19916336
81.9%
10Crumlin20416737
81.9%
11Maesycwmmer927517
81.5%
12Van27225
81.5%
13St James1068620
81.1%
14Pengam514110
80.4%
15Cefn Fforest And Pengam917318
80.2%
16Aberbargoed And Bargoed14511629
80.0%
17St Martins37830276
79.9%
18Machen And Rudry12810226
79.7%
19Newbridge19215141
78.6%
20Penmaen18914841
78.3%
21Pontlottyn18144
77.8%
22Bargoed40319
77.5%
23Bedwas And Trethomas14511134
76.6%
24Aber Valley1068125
76.4%
25Moriah And Pontlottyn423210
76.2%
26Penyrheol29222270
76.0%
27Crosskeys836320
75.9%
28Risca West17012842
75.3%
29St Cattwg19014149
74.2%
30Abercarn17412846
73.6%
31Hengoed1037528
72.8%
32Ynysddu1399841
70.5%
33Llanbradach1148034
70.2%
34Moriah402812
70.0%
35New Tredegar634320
68.3%
36Risca East845727
67.9%
37Darran Valley503317
66.0%
38Argoed1157441
64.3%
39Gilfach412615
63.4%
See how this applies to your postcode →

These are council averages. Your property is specific.

An extension might sail through in Cefn Fforest but face serious resistance in Gilfach.
Check your postcode to see what actually happens near your address.

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What the data tells us

1
A 36.6% gap separates the best and worst wards. Cefn Fforest approves 100.0% of applications while Gilfach approves just 63.4%. That's a fundamentally different planning environment.
2
High volume doesn't mean high approval. Some of the busiest wards aren't the most permissive. The number of applications a ward processes tells you nothing about how likely yours is to succeed.
3
Ward averages are a starting point, not a guarantee. Your specific outcome depends on your property, your neighbours, your proposal type and the comparable decisions near your address.

Before you spend £5,000+ on architects and drawings

884 planning applications in Caerphilly have been refused since 2020. Many of those homeowners had already paid for drawings and application fees. A free, property-specific report shows you what gets approved — and what gets refused — near your property.

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More Caerphilly planning data

Nearby councils ward breakdowns

Methodology: Covers 3,768 planning decisions in Caerphilly, January 2020 to September 2026. Approval rate = approved / (approved + refused). Pending, withdrawn and invalid excluded. Ward boundaries reflect current electoral divisions. Data from Caerphilly Council's public planning portal. Full methodology →
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